Recapping a chaotic rivalry week and looking ahead to championship week.
As if we needed more reasons to love college football, folks. Rivalry week did not disappoint, far from it. From "The Game" to Bedlam, chaos reigned supreme in the final week of the 2021 regular season. The College Football Playoff picture is far from set in stone, and with a season like this one, anything is possible heading into conference championship week. Let's recap a weekend for the record books and look ahead to an ever-so-important championship weekend.
ACC Championship
We'll start in the ACC, where there will be a championship game that doesn't
feature Clemson or Florida State for the first time since 2008. Pitt
clinched the Coastal Division en route to a 10-2 regular season, Pat
Narduzzi's best season with the Panthers. It'll be Pitt's second-ever ACC
championship game and their first since 2018 when they got blown out by
Clemson.
The Coastal Division had their champion, but the Atlantic Division still had
to name theirs. Mack Brown and his UNC Tarheels looked to play spoiler
against in-state rival NC State. My brother and I turned this game on
because, quite frankly, it was the best game on Friday night. What I wasn't
expecting was one of the wildest games of the season. NC State jumped out to
an early 14-0 lead before UNC rattled off 24 consecutive points to take a
second-half lead. The Wolfpack found themselves trailing by 9 with 2:10 to
play. A 65-yard touchdown pass would narrow the deficit to 2, and they would
recover the onside kick and have one last chance to keep their ACC title
hopes alive. They would strike with a quick touchdown that arguably
should've been an interception, and the defense would hold off Sam Howell
and the Tarheels to win and keep their hopes alive for another day.
A win over UNC was not enough for the Wolfpack, as Wake Forrest would clinch
the Atlantic Division with a comfortable win over Boston College on
Saturday. Dave Clawson has done a remarkable job with the Demon Deacons and
has recently signed a long-term extension to remain with the program. Wake
Forrest will play in their first ACC championship since 2006 when they head
to Charlotte this Saturday. The game won't impact the College Football
Playoff picture, but the winner will likely secure a bid to the Peach Bowl
on December 30th.
Pac 12 Championship
We'll head West next, where the Pac-12 is likely to miss out on yet another
playoff. The committee was high on Oregon because of their win against Ohio
State in Columbus. But losses to Stanford and Utah have diminished any hope
the Ducks had of rejoining the college football elite (for now). The defeat
to a 3-9 Stanford team was embarrassing, but the Ducks were still in the
playoff picture until being dismantled by Utah two weeks ago. Funny enough,
the two will square off again this weekend at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas
for a spot in the Rose Bowl. For Oregon, it's a chance to exorcise some
demons and exact revenge for ruining their playoff hopes.
For Utah, it's a chance to win their first conference championship since
joining the Pac 12 in 2011. It'll be interesting to see what kind of
adjustments Mario Cristobal makes, as they had no answer for the Utes ground
game when they squared off in Salt Lake City. Kyle Wittingham is a fantastic
coach and has his program consistently in the late-season top 25.
Oregon still has a chance to make the playoffs, but they need to beat Utah
and get help from their friends in Iowa and Houston.
AAC Championship
Now, onto the games with College Football Playoff implications, starting
with Cincinnati in the AAC championship. Cinci is looking to become the
first G5 (group of five) team to make the playoff. The committee hinted that
they're in if they win out when they ranked them fourth in last week's CFP
rankings. It's tough to imagine a scenario in which Cinci misses out on the
playoff being one of the only remaining undefeated's in the nation. You can
only beat the teams in front of you, which is what Luke Fickell's team has
done. Sure, it hasn't been pretty at times, but the Bearcats marched into
South Bend and beat a Notre Dame team that's still in the playoff
conversation today.
Houston is far from an easy-out for the Bearcats. They can score like crazy
and will be eager to play spoiler on Cincinnati's playoff hopes. Cinci has
not looked all that convincing lately. You have to imagine a straight-up win
should be enough for them to get in, but they may have to score some style
points while doing so. Teams on the outside looking in will have their eyes
on this matchup at Nippert Stadium on Saturday.
Big Ten Championship
From there, we head two hours north to Indianapolis, where Michigan and Iowa
will battle for the Big Ten championship. The Wolverines are fresh off a
thrilling victory over Ohio State, Jim Harbaugh's first victory over the
Buckeyes as head coach. Michigan is playing in their first Big Ten
championship game and will be looking for their first Big Ten championship
since 2004.
Iowa was rather fortunate to beat a wildly inconsistent Nebraska team, and
they needed help from the Minnesota Golden Gophers to secure their place in
Indy. The Hawkeyes were, at one point, the second-ranked team in the country
before losing to Purdue and Wisconsin in consecutive weeks. They have one of
the best defenses in the country, but their offense has struggled to gain
any momentum this year. Nonetheless, they're 10-2 with a chance to play
spoiler against a hungry Wolverine team. There is no doubt that Kirk Ferentz
will have his team ready to win an ugly one.
The question in this game is if Iowa's defense can stop a Michigan offense
that just ran down Ohio State's throat for a full 60 minutes on Saturday.
Even if Iowa does that, they have to find a way to score on Heisman
candidate Aidan Hutchinson and company. While anything can happen in this
sport (as we all know), Michigan is two-score favorites to take down the
Hawkeyes and head to their first-ever College Football Playoff.
Aidan Hutchinson had 15 QB pressures vs Ohio State
— PFF College Football (@PFF_College) November 28, 2021
Most in a game since we started tracking college in 2014 pic.twitter.com/Psmn0Fp6xh
Big 12 championship
We continue our tour of the United States and head to Dallas, where for the
first time since 1998, neither Texas nor Oklahoma will play in the Big 12
championship game. Oklahoma State pulled off the upset (if you want to call
it one) and defeated Oklahoma in the Bedlam rivalry.
The Cowboys impressed, and Mike Gundy got a much-needed victory over his
rival. They'll look to carry that momentum into the Big 12 championship game
this Saturday. Oklahoma State will face a Baylor team that has been red-hot
following a heartbreaking loss to TCU in early November. Like OK
State,
Baylor beat Oklahoma and ascended above them in the national rankings. The
defeat to TCU ended their playoff hopes, regardless if they pull off the
upset this Saturday. But it was an encouraging year for Bears fans, and
they'll hope that Dave Aranda sticks around for another few seasons (or
ten). The Cowboys must win if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive,
and they may need help from another team while doing so.
Baylor is no slouch, and I'd imagine this game is tightly-contested. But if
the Cowboys can win, they should be in a prime position to make their first
College Football Playoff.
SEC Championship
Finally, we head down south to the SEC championship game at Mercedes Benz
Stadium in Atlanta for the marquee game this weekend. Undefeated Georgia
plays pseudo-host to one-loss Alabama coming off an unconvincing win over
Auburn in the Iron Bowl. A win over Georgia is Alabama's ticket to the
playoff, but that's easier said than done.
The Tide had a ton of roster turnover from last year's national
championship-winning team, including nearly every skill position starter on
offense. They lost a heartbreaker to Texas A&M, had some sloppy wins,
and narrowly escaped disaster against Auburn. That said, I've learned many
times not to doubt Nick Saban and his ability to have the Tide prepared for
whatever is comes at them.
Georgia is a lock for the playoff and could likely afford to lose to Bama. I
doubt Kirby Smart (and almost every fanbase in America) wants to risk
letting Alabama sneak into the playoffs, so expect the Dawgs to put their
best foot forward against the Tide. Should they lose, they may face Alabama,
Michigan, or Cincinnati in the semifinals. Georgia has one of the most
impressive defenses of all time and is loaded with NFL talent from head to
tail. They're the odds-on favorite to win not only the SEC but also the CFP,
and with good reason.
Georgia’s defense finished the 2021 regular season with only 8 TDs allowed in 12 games.
— Anthony Treash (@PFF_Anthony) November 27, 2021
Outside Playoff Contenders
Notre Dame and Ohio State are still in the playoff picture, but they both
need a lot to go right to sneak in. Without a conference to actually win,
Notre Dame could sneak in as a fourth seed if two of Bama, Michigan, or
Cincinnati fall. This makes the announcement of long-time head coach Brian
Kelly even more puzzling. This has gotta be the first time in the CFP's
existence that a head coach has left the program while they're still in the
playoff race. What if Notre Dame makes it? How can those players suit up and
play for a coach they know bailed on them before the season even began? I'm
sure Brian Kelly didn't want his big-money move to LSU leaked, but how hard
is it to wait until after the season to finalize everything?
Just now Brian Kelly messaged Notre Dame’s roster in Team Works that “I will be leaving Notre Dame.”
— Pete Sampson (@PeteSampson_) November 30, 2021
The plan is for Kelly to meet with the team tomorrow at 7 a.m.
Here is the full message pic.twitter.com/sqAl2txZIy
Ohio State is a very long shot at making the playoff and would need so much
chaos to sneak back in the picture. The Buckeyes likely need all the
favorites to be upset this weekend (except Georgia), even that may not be
enough. Who's to say the committee doesn't but a Big 12 champion Baylor, a
one-loss Notre Dame, or two-loss Pac 12 champ Oregon (who beat the Buckeyes
in Columbus) over them? This is purely hypothetical, and I wouldn't bet
against Michigan or Cincinnati, but anything is possible, right?
Comments
Post a Comment